MANILA – According to the independent research group OCTA, the weekly Covid-19 positivity rate in Metro Manila increased to 14.5 percent on September 14, from 12.7 percent on September 7.
OCTA Research fellow Dr. Guido David on Friday shared an update on Twitter the previous peak in positivity rate in Metro Manila during the current Covid wave was logged on August 5 at 17.5 percent.
“There is a possibility that this current resurgence will exceed this number,” David said.
The World Health Organization recommended that the Covid-19 positivity rate should remain at 5 percent or less to show that the spread of the virus is under control.
David noted that the one-week growth rate of new cases in Metro Manila increased from -4 percent the previous week to 18 percent this week.
“The rise in cases in the NCR (National Capital Region) is likely to cause a corresponding rise in infections in nearby regions. Rizal and Bulacan are currently on an uptrend,” David said.
The reproduction number in Metro Manila—the average number of secondary infections by each infected individual—was 1.14 on September 12, exceeding the 1.03 on September 5.
According to David, the average daily attack rate in Metro Manila was at 6.12 per 100,000 population, which is considered “moderate.”
Metro Manila’s healthcare utilization for Covid-19 cases climbed from 36 percent with 2,319 beds occupied, on September 5, to 39 percent with 2,522 beds occupied, on September 14.
Moreover, intensive care unit (ICU) occupancy also increased from 24 percent, with 243 ICU beds occupied, to 33 percent, with 358 ICUs occupied, over the same monitoring period.
These, however, are still considered “low,” according to David.
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