Publicus Asia survey: Marcos-Duterte tandem top pick in NCR

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MANILA – According to the most recent PUBliCUS Asia survey issued on Monday, Former senator Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos Jr. and Davao City Mayor Sara Duterte were the top picks for president and vice president, respectively, in the National Capital Region (NCR).

The PAHAYAG NCR tracker survey from April 8 to 13 indicated Marcos was picked by 51.6 percent of the 1,625 respondents.

Vice President Leni Robredo received 24.3 percent of the vote, followed by Manila Mayor Francisco “Isko Moreno” Domagoso, who received 9.8 percent.

Trailing them were Senator Panfilo Lacson, 4.2 percent; Senator Manny Pacquiao, 1.8 percent; Leody de Guzman, 1 percent; Ernesto Abella, 0.9 percent; and Norberto Gonzales, 0.1 percent.

Among all the respondents, 5.7 percent are not yet decided on who they will vote for on May 9.

For the vice presidency, Duterte garnered 51.3 percent, followed by Senator Francis Pangilinan at 15.4 percent, Senate President Vicente Sotto III with 11.6 percent, and Dr. Willie Ong with 11.4 percent.

The data also revealed vote firmness was markedly high in the presidential and vice presidential races, with most supporters “definitely or likely not to change their respective votes”.

Robredo had the most firm votes, with 87 percent of the 24.3 percent of those who supported her indicating “their vote would definitely or likely not change.”

Meanwhile, 86 percent of the 51.6 percent of respondents who chose Marcos said “their vote would definitely or likely not change”, followed by 68 percent of firm voters of Domagoso.

Some 90 percent of Duterte’s supporters said they would definitely or likely not change their votes while Pangilinan, Sotto, and Ong notched firm voter shares of 84 percent, 77 percent, and 69 percent, respectively.

“The NCR vote firmness numbers appear to validate the general trend illustrated by our national data, which suggest that a large majority of registered voters are already dead-set on whom to vote for President and Vice President on May 9,” Aureli Sinsuat, executive director of PUBLiCUS, said in a statement.

The survey sample of 1,625 registered Filipino voters was drawn from the panel marketplace maintained by American firm PureSpectrum, with a total of 100 respondents each taken from 15 Metro Manila cities, except 76 samples from San Juan and 49 from Pateros.

The NCR-wide survey has a margin of error of plus/minus 3 percent.