MANILA – The growth of Covid-19 cases in the National Capital Region (NCR) has dropped to 2 percent based on the seven-day moving average of new infections, according to the OCTA Research Group.
On Saturday, the growth rate of NCR was 3 percent.
“The decrease in growth rate could have two possibilities – the trend of the new cases in NCR is close to the peak, or new cases in the NCR are limited by testing capacity, i.e., the volume of testing is not sufficient given the new number of cases,” OCTA Research Group member Dr. Guido David posted on his Twitter account @iamguidodavid.
He noted that the number of new cases in the region is nearing a peak if the number of new infections begins to decline by next week.
If the region’s testing capacity is limited, the number of new cases “will continue to hover around the same level until the downward trend occurs,” according to David.
As per Department of Health (DOH) data, the total number of new reported cases in the NCR from January 1 to 14 is around 165,000.
“This means that the actual number of cases, which include asymptomatic and symptomatic cases not tested and those tested with antigen but not reported, could be 6 to 15 times higher than official numbers reported by DOH, within a 95-percent confidence interval,” he said.
NCR had 18,422 new cases on Saturday.
In Calabarzon (9,401 new cases), Cavite had highest number of new infections at 2,988 followed by Rizal with 2,546, Laguna 2,473, Batangas 1,079, and Quezon 315, according to DOH data shared by David.
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